Hello friends, Welcome to Week 15 of the GFL.
Congrats to Buster, Nic, Will, and Tyler for making it to the semi finals. Best of luck to all of you in winning the 2018 championship.
Now I want to take a moment here to talk about this league and fantasy football in general. I'm just going to be blunt, we're all degenerate gamblers when it comes to fantasy football. This game is 1/3 drafting, 1/3 picking up players on waivers and 1/3 having luck on your side. There are no fantasy gods that sway games in your direction, sure crack a Miller lite on your porch, you won because you set the better lineup.
And that is where regrets happen, messing up your lineup, playing the wrong guys, the constant shoulda coulda woulda. We'd all be sitting pretty if we had played Derrick Henry against the Jaguars...wait say that again? DERRICK HENRY??? That's right, Derrick Henry went off against the Jaguars which brings me to another point...this game is dumb.
You are gambling on player variables and outcomes based on skill, game script, and matchups. The algorithm might not always be in your favor. I mean take for instance, Amari Cooper. Nobody expected him to be balling out the way he is in Dallas.
So as we head into the semi finals, just realize you might be great at fantasy football, you might set the wrong lineup and yeah, you probably should've won but let's face the facts: We're all being foolish gamblers playing a silly little game to make our Sunday's a little more hectic. That said, I love the GFL and this league and chatting with you guys week in and week out and this blog has been a great medium for me to write about fantasy football. That's all I wanted to say, let's get to the final four breakdowns.
Wavier Wire Wonders
Nic picked up WR John Brown for $12, WR Curtis Samuel for $3, and RB Derrick Henry for $1 and grabbed QB Derek Carr.
Will picked up TE Ian Thomas for $5
Walsh grabbed K Aldrick Rosas and the Falcons defense because I don't give up dammit.
SHRI RETURNS (8-5) VS MARSHAWN OF THE DEAD (9-4)
Will battles Tyler for a 3rd time with the season matchup record at 1-1. This is going to be an interesting matchup with Tyler waiting the status of RB Melvin Gordon but he has a solid stable of running backs to use against Will. As for Will, is he going to go big with Mahomes against the Chargers or gamble on Goff against a depleted Eagles secondary? This one seems like it's one sided but it could end up close than you think!
QB BREAKDOWN: Well this is pretty one sided. Will has Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff while Tyler has Jameis Winston and Kirk Cousins. Due to his passing prowlness, Winston is a solid QB for a weekly floor but Mahomes is the man right now, he's putting up Peyton/Brady like TD numbers, he's over 40+ for the season and a clear MVP candidate. So yeah, sorry Tyler but Will wins this one is a landslide. Advantage: Will.
RB BREAKDOWN: Now this one is going to be interesting. Will cannot give up on Kerryon Johnson for some reason, personally I'm surprised the Lions haven't put him on IR but go figure. David Johnson has had an up and down year with the Cardinals but most would classify him as a bust. However, if Melvin Gordon is out this Thursday, Will has Justin Jackson who will get the brunt of the workload in the game against the Chargers and as for Tyler, if Melvin Gordon is out he will rely on Nick Chubb and James White but Tyler also has Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson and complete control of Washington's backfield. So due to his choice of options even if he's RB1 is out, we side with Tyler Advantage: Tyler.
WR BREAKDOWN: If there is anything that has helped Will this year it is that he drafted and picked up quality WRs. His corps is strong with Michael Thomas, Adam Thielen, Josh Gordon, and Julian Edelman leading the way but he also has Kenny Golladay. Tyler truly only has one elite WR in Julio Jones but also had Larry Fitzgerald, Doug Baldwin, Willy Snead and Devin Funchess. So for upside alone, Will takes this one. Advantage: Will.
TE BREAKDOWN: Two of the more elite tight ends in the league duke it out with Rob Gronkowski for Will's squad vs Zach Ertz for Tyler. Ertz had a bad week last week in Dallas while Gronk shined in Miami (expect blowing the TD at the end lol). It's honestly a coin flip for me since Gronk is now healthy FINALLY but since Wentz might sit out, we'll lean Gronk's way. Advantage: Will.
K/DEF BREAKDOWN: Will is going to stick with Cowboys kicker Brett Maher it looks like while Tyler will stick with Chargers kicker Michael Badgley. As for defense, Will has Baltimore against Tampa Bay in currently and despite Winston's love for throwing interceptions, it's a bold choice. Tyler will go with the safer Houston Texans against Sam Darnold and the Jets. Due to having more upside in the matchups, I'll go with Tyler. Advantage: Tyler.
FINAL CALL: The joys of having players play on Thursday and Saturday might be a burden to these two as they will get out of the gate early but if Will is down by a small margin, he will have Michael Thomas on the road in Carolina to win it for him on MNF but Brees on the road is a dangerous call but the Saints are trying to lock up home field advantage over the Rams. Due to concerns about RB Melvin Gordon and having less upside, we at walshurleagueout have Willy Wonka advances to the Championsip. WINNER: SHRI RETURNS.
GIVE EM THE PEEN (6-7) VS WHAT BIKE? (11-2)
Buster will hope to not get peen slapped by the one of two teams to defeat him this season, the other being Goose and his team Nader Jr. Yes, Nic coming in with a 6-7 record is the underdog story of the season but he has built himself a heck of a squad with lots of upside, Can he takedown our top dog one more time?
QB BREAKDOWN: Nic has stuck with Deshaun Watson for most of the season and will probably rely on him again this Saturday against the New York Jets. His other option is Derek Carr against the Bengals but you know how well that went for me and Rivers...Meanwhile Buster has Cam Newton and Ben Roethlisberger, both banged up but effective QB1s, the gamble is who do you choose...
Advantage: Buster.
RB BREAKDOWN: You tell me who has the better running backs. We have Nic with Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, Tarik Cohen, Derrick Henry, and Matt Breida or we have Buster with Todd Gurley, Dion Lewis, Jalen Richard, Duke Johnson Jr. and Gurley's handcuff, John Kelly. Dear God, Buster, I know Gurley is great but this is not the best backfield to rosters. Nic wins in landslide even without Gurley. Advantage: Nic.
WR BREAKDOWN: Now this is where Buster shines. Davantae Adams, Stefon Diggs, Brandin Cooks, Chris Godwin, and Danny Amendola. Alright so maybe not world beaters and losing Emmanuel Sanders didn't help but Diggs and Adams can win weeks for you. As for Nic, he's stuck with Jarvis Landry all season long, he traded for DeAndre Hopkins, he picked up Curtis Samuel, and he has Jordy Nelson and John Brown on his bench. Now I almost want to pick Nic here but since Buster has more WR1s on his team, I sway his way. Advantage: Buster.
TE BREAKDOWN: Jared Cooks vs Eric Ebron. A year ago we would probably laugh at this matchup but these dudes are legit. Eric Ebron is having a career revival in Indianapolis and Oakland has benefitted from Cook's big body and big play upside to make him a top target to Derek Carr. Nic also has David Njoku on his bench and Buster has Austin Hooper but unless they're going to be flexed into lineups, we'll focus on Cook vs Ebron and with Luck being better than Carr, Buster wins lol. Advantage: Buster.
K/DEF BREAKDOWN: Now Nic has the always clutch Greg the Leg Zuerlien and Buster has the boom boom kicker Justin Tucker, both these dudes are elite and Tucker probably has one of the strongest legs in the league but if I look at who has the chance to score more points, I am going to side with Zuerlien. As for defense, Nic is going with the struggling Minnesota Vikings against Miami and Buster will have the Rams up against possibly Nick Foles and the Eagles. The Rams just lost to the Bears...so I'm going to side with Nic. Advantage: Nic.
FINAL CALL: So Buster's team will be done on Sunday and Nic could possibly be down and if he is down, he has Alvin Kamara and red hot Curtis Samuel to try to win it for him but Buster could counter this IF he plays Cam Newton over Ben Roethlisberger but does he dare risk it? The current projections have this game within 2 points. idk why but something in my gut tells me this isn't Nic's last dance, crack another miller on the porch Nic because you're going to the championship. WINNER: GIVE EM THE PEEN.
So our championship prediction is Shri Returns vs Give Em The Peen.
Quick thoughts on the consolation games.
PHIL UP THE TUB VS Lil Skeet Skeet: The rematch of the 1.08 miracle, I currently have a 2-0 record against Phil this season but he'll probably win this meaningless 5th place game.
KZOO RIVER MONSTERS vs Captain Insano: Ryan has Christian McCaffrey but Jeff was probably one of the best teams to miss the playoffs. Jeff will win this game.
Nader Jr. vs OBJs give me a Chubb: Goose actually had a pretty solid 2nd half of season with a new healthy Leonard Fournette and others. He should take care of KJs squad easily.
NFL PICKS.
Chargers @ Chiefs: Taking the home town Chiefs to win in a shootout.
Texans @ Jets: Jets fans get to watch a good team, how lucky.
Browns @ Broncos: C'MON BROWNS, WALSH NEEDS A SIX PACK
Cardinals @ Falcons: Cardinals might be worst team in the league.
Buccaneers @ Ravens: Ravens bounce back.
Lions @ Bills: The Bills are the better team. Josh Allen is White Vick.
Packers @ Bears: That defense is nothing to mess with.
Raiders @ Bengals: This game is gross
Cowboys @ Colts: Believe in Blue. We're doing it fam.
Washington @ Jaguars: Bad times in Washington.
Dolphins @ Vikings: The Vikings are falling apart.
Titans @ Giants: Derrick Henry is no Saquon Barkley.
Seahawks @ 49ers: Seahawks are playoff contenders.
Patriots @ Steelers: Better team wins on the road.
Eagles @ Rams: Goff should bounce back against this secondary.
Saints @ Panthers: Saints gotta win this to get closer to home field advantage.
Well that was Week 15, next week will be the final season blog but I might have a Week 17 blog and a wrap up blog.
Thanks for reading as always, dudes.
No comments:
Post a Comment